| Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Patriots | 1.1141 (LW × 1.0077) | 9-3 | Lost by 5 @ Packers |
| 2 (-) | Broncos | 1.0553 (LW × 1.0184) | 9-3 | Won by 13 @ Chiefs |
| 3 (↑3) | Packers | 1.0272 (LW × 1.0396) | 9-3 | Won by 5 vs Patriots |
| 4 (↑1) | Dolphins | 1.0066 (LW × 1.0137) | 7-5 | Won by 3 @ Jets |
| 5 (↓2) | Chiefs | 1.0034 (LW × 0.9790) | 7-5 | Lost by 13 vs Broncos |
| 6 (↑1) | Seahawks | 0.9734 (LW × 1.0151) | 8-4 | Won by 16 @ 49ers |
| 7 (↑1) | Eagles | 0.9695 (LW × 1.0220) | 9-3 | Won by 23 @ Cowboys |
| 8 (↓4) | Cardinals | 0.9562 (LW × 0.9584) | 9-3 | Lost by 11 @ Falcons |
| 9 (↑4) | Lions | 0.9550 (LW × 1.0328) | 8-4 | Won by 17 vs Bears |
| 10 (↑5) | Bills | 0.9439 (LW × 1.0302) | 7-5 | Won by 16 vs Browns |
| 11 (↓2) | Colts | 0.9393 (LW × 0.9964) | 8-4 | Won by 22 vs Washington |
| 12 (↑2) | Chargers | 0.9290 (LW × 1.0102) | 8-4 | Won by 1 @ Ravens |
| 13 (↓2) | Ravens | 0.9067 (LW × 0.9790) | 7-5 | Lost by 1 vs Chargers |
| 14 (↑2) | Rams | 0.9024 (LW × 1.0198) | 5-7 | Won by 52 vs Raiders |
| 15 (↓3) | 49ers | 0.8871 (LW × 0.9591) | 7-5 | Lost by 16 vs Seahawks |
| 16 (↓6) | Cowboys | 0.8818 (LW × 0.9431) | 8-4 | Lost by 23 vs Eagles |
| 17 (↑1) | Bengals | 0.8777 (LW × 0.9945) | 8-3-1 | Won by 1 @ Buccaneers |
| 18 (↓1) | Steelers | 0.8651 (LW × 0.9787) | 7-5 | Lost by 3 vs Saints |
| 19 (-) | Texans | 0.8610 (LW × 0.9924) | 6-6 | Won by 24 vs Titans |
| 20 (↑1) | Saints | 0.8573 (LW × 1.0188) | 5-7 | Won by 3 @ Steelers |
| 21 (↑1) | Bears | 0.8371 (LW × 0.9964) | 5-7 | Lost by 17 @ Lions |
| 22 (↑2) | Vikings | 0.8292 (LW × 1.0357) | 5-7 | Won by 18 vs Panthers |
| 23 (↓3) | Browns | 0.8289 (LW × 0.9786) | 7-5 | Lost by 16 @ Bills |
| 24 (↑4) | Falcons | 0.7973 (LW × 1.0431) | 5-7 | Won by 11 vs Cardinals |
| 25 (↑2) | Jets | 0.7869 (LW × 1.0246) | 2-10 | Lost by 3 vs Dolphins |
| 26 (↓1) | Raiders | 0.7823 (LW × 0.9826) | 1-11 | Lost by 52 @ Rams |
| 27 (↓4) | Giants | 0.7721 (LW × 0.9640) | 3-9 | Lost by 1 @ Jaguars |
| 28 (↑2) | Buccaneers | 0.7571 (LW × 1.0061) | 2-10 | Lost by 1 vs Bengals |
| 29 (↓3) | Washington | 0.7547 (LW × 0.9765) | 3-9 | Lost by 22 @ Colts |
| 30 (↓1) | Panthers | 0.7427 (LW × 0.9831) | 3-8-1 | Lost by 18 @ Vikings |
| 31 (↑1) | Jaguars | 0.7236 (LW × 1.0106) | 2-10 | Won by 1 vs Giants |
| 32 (↓1) | Titans | 0.7000 (LW × 0.9744) | 2-10 | Lost by 24 @ Texans |
Comments:
A lot of power rankings will, no doubt, put the Packers in the top slot this week. But I think APR is right to keep the Pats at #1. They still have that very impressive streak of wins over the Broncos, Colts, and Lions. The fact that they went into a very hostile Lambeau field, and took the Packers to the wire is still pretty solid.
Thanks to a couple upset wins by the Falcons and Saints, we know the eventual NFC South winner will have at least 5 wins. The Saints seem to have a pretty easy remaining schedule, with three division games and a visit to the struggling Bears. So in spite of the doom-sayers, it's possible they could make it to 8 or even 9 wins.
I'm actually kinda surprised APR gave the Dolphins a one-spot bump on their 3 point win over the now 2-10 Jets. I suppose that's at least partly due to wins by nearly every team they've already played this week, making their record look retroactively more impressive.
That was a really costly loss for the Cardinals this week. Even if they win their remaining home games (and facing the Chiefs and Seahawks, there's no guarantees), they've still got a couple of tough road games at the Rams and 49ers. With the Seahawks perhaps shaking off their early season troubles, the Cardinals might actually find themselves on the outside looking in when it comes playoff time.
And speaking of ugly losses, this was the first time the Rams have scored 50 or more points since the Greatest Show on Turf era, and the first time the Raiders have given up 50 or more points since ah, well, last year. (It is the worst loss for the Raiders since the early days of the AFL, though.)
The Browns, despite their winning record, have dropped down into the bottom 10 of the rankings. But given the quality of their last three games (drubbing by the Texans and Bills, separated by a squeaker win over the Falcons) I'd be hard pressed to make a case for a much higher spot.
