Tuesday, December 2, 2014

NFL Week 13 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (9-4)


Bengals @ Buccaneers
Broncos @ Chiefs
Dolphins @ Jets
Bears @ Lions
Titans @ Texans
Raiders @ Rams
Panthers @ Vikings
Browns @ Bills
Washington @ Colts


Saints @ Steelers
Drew Brees had his best game of the season, passing for 257 yards and 5 touchdowns, with Mark Ingram contributing 122 yards on the ground. The Steelers did manage something of a late rally, but it's not as close as the final score makes it look, as their final touchdown came on the last play of the game.
Chargers @ Ravens
I watched the end of this game, and I'm still not totally sure what happened. Into the 4th quarter, the Ravens' defense had held the Chargers to just 13 points, putting them pretty solidly in control of the game. Then... well then maybe the Ravens had an injury on defense or something that I missed? Because then the Chargers put together three sustained drives, all for touchdowns, with the last providing the game winning points. The Ravens are now 2-5 when they give up 20 or more points.
Giants @ Jaguars
Two lost fumbles returned for touchdowns and a second half where only one drive went longer than 21 yards is a bad, bad combination, even against a weak team like the Jaguars.
Cardinals @ Falcons
This was a breakdown of the Cardinals' defense. They have pretty much played all their games in the "keep it close and win it in the 4th quarter" cliche style. But without Carson Palmer, without Larry FItzgerald, and without any support from the running game, this game was lost when the Falcons established a 17 point advantage in the first quarter.

Split Picks: (APR 2-1, SRS 2-1, Line 1-2)

Eagles (APR, SRS) @ Cowboys (Line)
The Cowboys didn't do themselves any favors on offense, producing just one drive longer than 35 yards until well into garbage time. But a more glaring problem was the Cowboys' defense, which allowed the Eagles to score on 7 of their first 9 drives. They just aren't the kind of team that can give up that many scores and stay in the game.
Seahawks (APR, SRS) @ 49ers (Line)
The 49ers just had a miserable game on offense. Colin Kaepernick barely completed half of his passes, with the longest one going for just 16 yards. The rushing game was stuffed, with a team total of 68 yards. They only managed one drive longer than 33 yards.
Patriots (APR, SRS) @ Packers (Line)
A close game between a couple very good teams, that came down to the last couple minutes. I was half expecting the Patriots to run away with this one, so I gotta give a lot of credit to the Packers' defense for at least slowing down Rob Gronkowski and LeGarrette Blount.
The Pats made a few mistakes (letting the Packers get out to a 13-0 lead, that Jordy Nelson TD at the first half, and the missed FG at the end of the game). It wasn't much, but with the Packers playing as well as they were, it was enough.


Another decent week for everybody, and once again a couple road dog wins means the algorithms pick up another game on the Line.

APR 11- 5 115-57-167.2%
SRS 11- 5 112-60-165.4%
Line 10- 6 118-54-168.9%