Tuesday, December 9, 2014

NFL Week 14 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (10-4)

Right:

Cowboys @ Bears
Rams @ Washington
Texans @ Jaguars
Giants @ Titans
Colts @ Browns
Patriots @ Chargers
Buccaneers @ Lions
Jets @ Vikings
Bills @ Broncos
Facons @ Packers

Wrong:

Panthers @ Saints
This was the bad Saints playing in this game. On offense, their longest drive was just 34 yards until well into garbage time. On defense, they were mostly unable to stop a Panthers' offense that hadn't scored more than 21 points in a game since facing the Bengals two months ago. The Saints have some talented players, but when they have an off game, they can really stink up the joint.
Ravens @ Dolphins
The Ravens stopped the Dolphins from running. And the Dolphins' passing game isn't enough to sustain many drives all by itself, and so the Dolphins were only able to score 13 points in this game. And while the Dolphins' defense has played well this season, they need more help than 13 points from their offense to get a win against a team that can move the ball like the Ravens.
Steelers @ Bengals
As bad as this looks for the Bengals, most of the damage came on just two plays. The Bengals lost a fumble that the Steelers turned into a touchdown. The Steelers subsequent drive consisted of one 94 yard touchdown pass to rookie WR Martavis Bryant. And what had been a close game through three quarters turned into a blow-out almost in the blink of an eye.
49ers @ Raiders
The 49ers defense had some issues in this game, giving up three long drives for touchdowns. But to my eye, the real problem in this game was the 49ers offense. A couple turnovers, three field goal tries (one missed) and a touchdown aren't gonna win many games. And that's demonostrated in the 49ers record this season. They're 2-6 when they don't score at least 22 points (it's also worth noting those two wins came in close games against bad NFC East opponents).

Split Picks: (APR 1-1, SRS 1-1, Line 1-1)

Seahawks (APR, SRS) @ Eagles (Line)
The Eagles' offense just wasn't able to move the ball down the field. Apart from their second touchdown, their longest drive went just 25 yards.
Chiefs (APR, SRS) @ Cardinals (Line)
I thought the Cardinals were in deep trouble after Jamaal Charles scored his second touchdown of the day to give the Chiefs an 8 point lead. But the Cardinals' defense played a lot better in this game, shutting the Chiefs out in the second half (thanks in part to a controversial fumble ruling) while putting together a couple scoring drives that put them in the lead.

Totals

This
Week
This
Season
%
APR 11- 5 127-64-166.4%
SRS 11- 5 124-67-164.8%
Line 11- 5 132-59-169.0%