Why yes, now that you mention it—I am ready for some football.
Picks for week 1. As usual, APR and SRS require at least a week's worth of games before they can work, so I'm picking week 1 using the Pythagorean projection method (described here). The usual APR/SRS picks will start next week.
Line data is from yahoo.com and are for comparison purposes only.
| Game | Pythagorean | Line |
| Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens | Ravens -7.5800 | Ravens -13 |
| Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints | Saints -6.7500 | Saints -13 |
| San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders | Chargers -5.6193 | Chargers -9 |
| Minnesota Vikings @ Cleveland Browns | Vikings -4.8335 | Vikings -4 |
| Washington Redskins @ New York Giants | Giants -4.3668 | Giants -6½ |
| Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts | Colts -3.9891 | Colts -7 |
| Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals | Broncos -2.9811 | Bengals -4½ |
| St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks | Seahawks -2.7913 | Seahawks -8½ |
| Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots | Patriots -2.7528 | Patriots -10½ |
| New York Jets @ Houston Texans | Jets -1.9102 | Texans -5 |
| Philadelphia Eagles @ Carolina Panthers | Eagles -1.1273 | Eagles -1 |
| Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Buccaneers -1.1266 | Cowboys -6 |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals | Cardinals -1.1224 | Cardinals -6½ |
| Miami Dolphins @ Atlanta Falcons | Falcons -0.9255 | Falcons -4 |
| Tennessee Titans @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Titans -0.2110 | Titans -6 |
| Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers | Packers -0.1695 | Packers -3½ |
Comments
The numbers under the Pythagorean column represent the differences in projected wins for the corresponding teams (i.e., the units are 'Games Won', and not comparable to the 'points scored' line values).
Disagreements on Broncos @ Bengals, Jets @ Texans, and Cowboys @ Buccaneers. Note that in all 3 cases, the teams favored by Pythagorean projection have quarterback issues.
