Read
this for a description of APR.
Read
this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.
Official rankings will be added after they are published.
Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
1 (-) | Texas BCS=3 | 9-0 | 7.9381 (LW × 0.974) | won by 32 vs UCF |
2 (-) | Florida BCS=1 | 9-0 | 6.9071 (LW × 0.893) | won by 24 vs Vanderbilt |
3 (-) | Alabama BCS=2 | 9-0 | 6.5171 (LW × 0.967) | won by 9 vs LSU |
4 (↑1) | TCU BCS=4 | 9-0 | 5.8434 (LW × 1.021) | won by 43 at San-Diego-St |
5 (↑10) | Ohio-St BCS=11 | 8-2 | 5.7131 (LW × 1.208) | won by 17 at Penn-St |
6 (-) | Texas-Tech | 6-3 | 5.5817 (LW × 0.977) | Bye |
7 (↓3) | Oregon BCS=13 | 7-2 | 5.4728 (LW × 0.832) | lost by 9 at Stanford |
8 (↑2) | Virginia-Tech BCS=21 | 6-3 | 5.4657 (LW × 1.023) | won by 13 at East-Carolina |
9 (↓2) | Georgia-Tech BCS=7 | 9-1 | 5.3924 (LW × 0.947) | won by 3 vs Wake-Forest |
10 (↑10) | Oklahoma-St BCS=19 | 7-2 | 5.1009 (LW × 1.143) | won by 26 at Iowa-St |
11 (↓3) | Oklahoma | 5-4 | 5.0168 (LW × 0.912) | lost by 7 at Nebraska |
12 (↑11) | Clemson | 6-3 | 4.8678 (LW × 1.124) | won by 16 vs Florida-St |
13 (↑1) | Cincinnati BCS=5 | 9-0 | 4.8454 (LW × 0.985) | won by 2 vs Connecticut |
14 (↓1) | Penn-St BCS=18 | 8-2 | 4.7899 (LW × 0.961) | lost by 17 vs Ohio-St |
15 (↑10) | Miami-FL BCS=14 | 7-2 | 4.7516 (LW × 1.120) | won by 35 vs Virginia |
16 (↓4) | Arkansas | 5-4 | 4.7078 (LW × 0.927) | won by 17 vs South-Carolina |
17 (↓6) | Texas-A&M | 5-4 | 4.7042 (LW × 0.881) | lost by 1 at Colorado |
18 (↓9) | Iowa BCS=10 | 9-1 | 4.7017 (LW × 0.862) | lost by 7 vs Northwestern |
19 (↓2) | Boise-St BCS=6 | 9-0 | 4.6724 (LW × 1.023) | won by 10 at Louisiana-Tech |
20 (↓2) | Pittsburgh BCS=12 | 8-1 | 4.6166 (LW × 1.016) | won by 27 vs Syracuse |
21 (↓5) | LSU BCS=8 | 7-2 | 4.5407 (LW × 0.968) | lost by 9 at Alabama |
22 (↑6) | Nebraska | 6-3 | 4.5304 (LW × 1.141) | won by 7 vs Oklahoma |
23 (↓4) | USC BCS=9 | 7-2 | 4.2943 (LW × 0.951) | won by 5 at Arizona-St |
24 (-) | Houston BCS=15 | 8-1 | 4.1572 (LW × 0.974) | won by 1 at Tulsa |
25 (↓3) | Tennessee | 5-4 | 4.1195 (LW × 0.943) | won by 28 vs Memphis |
26 (↓5) | Auburn | 7-3 | 4.0647 (LW × 0.922) | won by 32 vs Furman |
27 (↑12) | Stanford | 6-3 | 4.0476 (LW × 1.179) | won by 9 vs Oregon |
28 (↑5) | Oregon-St BCS=23 | 6-3 | 4.0306 (LW × 1.155) | won by 17 at California |
29 (-) | Wisconsin BCS=20 | 7-2 | 3.9499 (LW × 1.002) | won by 3 at Indiana |
30 (-) | Arizona BCS=17 | 6-2 | 3.9091 (LW × 0.993) | won by 41 vs Washington-St |
Other Notable Teams: | ||||
32 (-) | West-Virginia BCS=25 | 7-1 | 3.8190 (LW × 0.982) | won by 8 vs Louisville |
38 (↑9) | BYU BCS=22 | 7-2 | 3.3989 (LW × 1.110) | won by 52 at Wyoming |
41 (-) | Utah BCS=16 | 8-1 | 3.2069 (LW × 0.954) | won by 31 vs New-Mexico |
50 (↓1) | South-Florida BCS=24 | 5-2 | 3.0157 (LW × 0.994) | Bye |
Comments:
This ranking doesn't include the Nevada @ San Jose St. game, scheduled for Sunday night. But since both teams are down in the weeds, it shouldn't be a big deal.
A lot of upsets this week, though I can't say I'm exactly surprised Iowa or Cal lost.
USC's offense struggled mightily against ASU's defense. Their scoring consisted of a pick-6 and one (1) 75-yard touchdown play. The only other time they were even in field-goal range was off another interception (the FG attempt fell short). If they don't get better offensive production, USC will be in real danger of more losses this season.