Picks for week 9.
Read
this for a description of APR.
Read this
for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Washington Redskins @ Atlanta Falcons | Falcons ρ=3.5852 | Falcons δ=21.65 | Falcons -10 |
| Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Packers ρ=2.5736 | Packers δ=18.58 | Packers -10 |
| Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints | Saints ρ=2.3224 | Saints δ=25.66 | Saints -13½ |
| Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Jaguars ρ=2.0797 | Chiefs δ=0.48 | Jaguars -6½ |
| Detroit Lions @ Seattle Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.9587 | Seahawks δ=9.83 | Seahawks -10 |
| Arizona Cardinals @ Chicago Bears | Cardinals ρ=1.4709 | Cardinals δ=0.39 | Bears -3 |
| Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles | Cowboys ρ=1.3448 | Cowboys δ=1.78 | Eagles -3 |
| Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.3252 | Patriots δ=7.93 | Patriots -10½ |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.2530 | Broncos δ=6.27 | Steelers -3 |
| Tennessee Titans @ San Francisco 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.2439 | 49ers δ=13.46 | 49ers -4 |
| Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts | Colts ρ=1.1751 | Colts δ=8.97 | Colts -9 |
| San Diego Chargers @ New York Giants | Chargers ρ=1.1109 | Chargers δ=1.52 | Giants -4½ |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals | Ravens ρ=1.0739 | Ravens δ=4.03 | Ravens -3 |
Comments:
Yeah, that's how bad the Lions have been that they're not even favored to beat the Seahawks. Though it sounds like Calvin Johnson might be back, and he makes it a lot easier for Matt Stafford to find an open receiver.
Can the Cardinals get back to their old run-stopping ways? The Bears' 26th-ranked rushing offense should show whether the Cardinals have been exposed, or just had a (very) bad game.
So, will that be Cowboys @ lost-to-Raiders, barely-beat-Redskins Eagles, or will it be Cowboys @ blew-out-Giants Eagles? Knowing would make picking that game so much easier.
The Steelers are doing a lot better now that they've got Troy Polamalu back. But the Steelers got a nasty surprise the last time they played a prime-time game in Denver.
It seems like an odd thing to say about a 5-3 team, but this really is a must-win game for the Giants. As I mentioned previously, it doesn't get easier for them any time soon.
