Wednesday, November 4, 2009

NFL Strength Of Remaining Schedule, Q2

2009 Navigation Links

Strength of remaining Schedule, Q1 (which tells how this was computed)

As usual, higher index values represent better teams, so a higher value here means a more difficult schedule.

RankTeamW-LStrength of
Schedule
1Carolina Panthers3-44.3456
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-74.3061
3New England Patriots5-24.0906
4Washington Redskins2-54.0740
5Indianapolis Colts7-03.8874
6St. Louis Rams1-73.8011
7New York Giants5-33.6067
8New York Jets4-43.5338
9Buffalo Bills3-53.5337
10Philadelphia Eagles5-23.4641
11Houston Texans5-33.4365
12Jacksonville Jaguars3-43.4132
13Miami Dolphins3-43.3594
14Kansas City Chiefs1-63.3173
15Tennessee Titans1-63.2975
16Oakland Raiders2-63.2894
17Detroit Lions1-63.2508
18Pittsburgh Steelers5-23.2210
19Chicago Bears4-33.1773
20Green Bay Packers4-33.0444
21Baltimore Ravens4-33.0086
22Atlanta Falcons4-32.9599
23Dallas Cowboys5-22.9598
24San Diego Chargers4-32.9429
25Minnesota Vikings7-12.8700
26Cleveland Browns1-72.8087
27Cincinnati Bengals5-22.7977
28New Orleans Saints7-02.7356
29Seattle Seahawks2-52.7032
30Denver Broncos6-12.6358
31San Francisco 49ers3-42.5396
32Arizona Cardinals4-32.3448

Comments:

  • It's not to early to talk about a first-round bye for the Saints: Football Outsiders' playoff odds give a combined probability of 88.5% the Saints will have the #1 or #2 seed. (Note these numbers are updated weekly, so if you look after Sunday, you will certainly see different results.)

  • Football Outsiders' has the Colts as heavy favorites for a first-round bye as well. But they still have to play the Patriots, Ravens, Broncos, as well as the upstart Texans.

  • Not that long ago the Giants were in control of their division. Now, after an 0-3 stretch, with a very tough schedule left to play, it could be very tough for them. Football Outsiders gives them a 41.4% chance to make the playoffs; I think that might be overly generous.

  • The Browns are giving the Raiders a run for their money as the most disfunctional NFL franchise. Even with one of the easiest remaining schedules, I wonder if they can win another game. And speaking of the Browns and Raiders, the "Avert Your Eyes Bowl" takes place week 16 in Cleveland.

  • The Cardinals and 49ers both have a very easy remaining schedule. The battle for the NFC West could come down to their week 14 matchup.