Sunday, November 15, 2009

NCAA: APR's Top 30+, Week 11

2009 Navigation Links

Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.

This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.

Official rankings will be added after they are published.

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)Texas
BCS=3
10-08.4091
(LW × 1.057)
won by 33
at Baylor
2 (↑1)Alabama
BCS=2
10-07.2006
(LW × 1.105)
won by 28
at Mississippi-St
3 (↓1)Florida
BCS=1
10-06.6688
(LW × 0.965)
won by 10
at South-Carolina
4 (-)TCU
BCS=4
10-06.2829
(LW × 1.073)
won by 27
vs Utah
5 (↑6)Oklahoma6-45.7179
(LW × 1.139)
won by 55
vs Texas-A&M
6 (↑3)Georgia-Tech
BCS=7
10-15.6265
(LW × 1.043)
won by 39
at Duke
7 (↑3)Oklahoma-St
BCS=12
8-25.5837
(LW × 1.092)
won by 7
vs Texas-Tech
8 (↓3)Ohio-St
BCS=10
9-25.4061
(LW × 0.946)
won by 3
vs Iowa
9 (↓2)Virginia-Tech
BCS=15
7-35.3114
(LW × 0.972)
won by 27
at Maryland
10 (↓2)Oregon
BCS=11
8-25.3028
(LW × 0.971)
won by 23
vs Arizona-St
11 (↑6)Arkansas6-45.2037
(LW × 1.105)
won by 36
vs Troy
12 (↑19)Mississippi7-35.1313
(LW × 1.319)
won by 25
vs Tennessee
13 (↑14)Stanford
BCS=17
7-35.0016
(LW × 1.241)
won by 34
at USC
14 (↑8)Nebraska7-34.9776
(LW × 1.096)
won by 14
at Kansas
15 (↓9)Texas-Tech6-44.9617
(LW × 0.888)
lost by 7
at Oklahoma-St
16 (↓4)Clemson
BCS=23
7-34.8839
(LW × 1.003)
won by 20
at NC-State
17 (↓4)Cincinnati
BCS=5
10-04.8759
(LW × 1.007)
won by 3
vs West-Virginia
18 (↑1)Boise-St
BCS=6
10-04.7745
(LW × 1.028)
won by 38
vs Idaho
19 (↑1)Pittsburgh
BCS=9
9-14.6064
(LW × 0.998)
won by 5
vs Notre-Dame
20 (↑8)Oregon-St
BCS=19
7-34.5583
(LW × 1.133)
won by 27
vs Washington
21 (↓6)Miami-FL
BCS=20
7-34.4603
(LW × 0.938)
lost by 9
at North-Carolina
22 (↓8)Penn-St
BCS=14
9-24.4551
(LW × 0.930)
won by 11
vs Indiana
23 (↓5)Iowa
BCS=13
9-24.3466
(LW × 0.924)
lost by 3
at Ohio-St
24 (↑16)Missouri6-44.2133
(LW × 1.287)
won by 26
at Kansas-St
25 (↓4)LSU
BCS=8
8-24.2085
(LW × 0.926)
won by 8
vs Louisiana-Tech
26 (↓10)Texas-A&M5-54.0718
(LW × 0.864)
lost by 55
at Oklahoma
27 (↑7)North-Carolina7-34.0401
(LW × 1.068)
won by 9
vs Miami-FL
28 (↓2)Auburn7-43.9847
(LW × 0.980)
lost by 7
at Georgia
29 (↑13)Nevada7-33.9264
(LW × 1.243)
won by 38
vs Fresno-St
30 (↓5)Tennessee5-53.8780
(LW × 0.941)
lost by 25
at Mississippi

Other notable teams:
31 (↓2)Wisconsin
BCS=16
8-23.8590
(LW × 0.977)
won by 21
vs Michigan
32 (↓9)USC
BCS=18
7-33.8291
(LW × 0.894)
lost by 34
vs Stanford
33 (↓3)Arizona6-33.7607
(LW × 0.963)
lost by 8
at California
34 (↓10)Houston
BCS=24
8-23.7580
(LW × 0.903)
lost by 5
at UCF
42 (↓6)BYU
BCS=22
8-23.2405
(LW × 0.950)
won by 5
at New-Mexico
43 (↑9)California
BCS=25
7-33.2379
(LW × 1.086)
won by 8
vs Arizona
45 (↓4)Utah
BCS=21
8-23.1467
(LW × 0.983)
lost by 27
at TCU

Comments:

  • This ranking doesn't include the East Carolina (#67) @ Tulsa (#80) scheduled for Sunday night.

  • Will the BCS ever drop Florida out of #1 if they remain unbeaten? They sure don't seem as dominant as they were last year.

  • USC actually drops out of APR's top 30. They just got smoked by Stanford, and can't be all that sure at this point they can beat Arizona to close out their schedule.