Read
this for a description of APR.
Read this
for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com.
Picks for week 10.
Game | APR | SRS | Line |
New Orleans Saints @ St. Louis Rams | Saints ρ=5.5937 | Saints δ=38.29 | Saints -14 |
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings | Vikings ρ=3.5096 | Vikings δ=18.66 | Vikings -16½ |
Denver Broncos @ Washington Redskins | Broncos ρ=3.4228 | Broncos δ=16.38 | Broncos -4 |
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns | Ravens ρ=2.3677 | Ravens δ=21.99 | Ravens -11 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Miami Dolphins | Dolphins ρ=2.1582 | Dolphins δ=17.51 | Dolphins -10 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers | Cowboys ρ=2.1481 | Cowboys δ=7.39 | Cowboys -3 |
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=1.9792 | Cardinals δ=6.93 | Cardinals -8½ |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets | Jets ρ=1.4287 | Jets δ=17.94 | Jets -6½ |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders | Raiders ρ=1.2147 | Chiefs δ=2.35 | Raiders -2 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ San Diego Chargers | Eagles ρ=1.1696 | Eagles δ=3.18 | Chargers -2½ |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.1493 | Bengals δ=2.78 | Steelers -7 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers | Falcons ρ=1.1401 | Falcons δ=12.03 | Falcons -1½ |
Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.0604 | 49ers δ=1.72 | 49ers -3 |
New England Patriots @ Indianapolis Colts | Colts ρ=1.0488 | Patriots δ=5.75 | Colts -3 |
Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans | Bills ρ=1.0238 | Bills δ=5.68 | Titans -6½ |
Comments:
Thursday night games begin this week with Bears @ 49ers. Be sure to get your picks in!
If the Falcons beat the Panthers this week, it will be just the second road win for them this season.
I wish I had grounds to argue picking against the Packers. But the only surprise is that the Cowboys are just a 3-point favorite.
I think the line is giving the Chargers too much credit for their last-second win over the fading Giants. Unless the Eagles' offense goes back into hibernation, they should win easily.
The Titans' power index has more than doubled in the last two weeks. If they really have turned things around, they should have a real chance to beat the Bills.