Read
this for a description of APR.
Read
this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.
Official rankings will be added after they are published.
| Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
| 1 (-) | Texas BCS=3 | 12-0 | 7.9646 (LW × 1.006) | won by 10 at Texas-A&M |
| 2 (-) | Alabama BCS=2 | 12-0 | 7.0867 (LW × 1.049) | won by 5 at Auburn |
| 3 (-) | Florida BCS=1 | 12-0 | 7.0284 (LW × 1.153) | won by 27 vs Florida-St |
| 4 (-) | Texas-Tech | 8-4 | 5.8383 (LW × 0.965) | won by 7 at Baylor |
| 5 (↑10) | Oklahoma | 7-5 | 5.8105 (LW × 1.159) | won by 27 vs Oklahoma-St |
| 6 (-) | Arkansas | 7-5 | 5.5312 (LW × 0.999) | lost by 3 at LSU |
| 7 (↓2) | TCU BCS=4 | 12-0 | 5.4522 (LW × 0.904) | won by 41 vs New-Mexico |
| 8 (↑1) | Virginia-Tech BCS=12 | 9-3 | 5.4504 (LW × 1.023) | won by 29 at Virginia |
| 9 (↑10) | Boise-St BCS=6 | 12-0 | 5.3198 (LW × 1.153) | won by 11 vs Nevada |
| 10 (-) | Ohio-St BCS=8 | 10-2 | 5.1738 (LW × 0.972) | Bye |
| 11 (↑3) | Oregon BCS=7 | 9-2 | 5.1680 (LW × 1.000) | Bye |
| 12 (↓1) | Penn-St BCS=11 | 10-2 | 5.1153 (LW × 0.963) | Bye |
| 13 (↓5) | Mississippi | 8-4 | 5.0479 (LW × 0.946) | lost by 14 at Mississippi-St |
| 14 (↓2) | Cincinnati BCS=5 | 11-0 | 4.9421 (LW × 0.941) | won by 13 vs Illinois |
| 15 (↓8) | Georgia-Tech BCS=10 | 10-2 | 4.9094 (LW × 0.890) | lost by 6 vs Georgia |
| 16 (↑1) | Nebraska BCS=22 | 9-3 | 4.6269 (LW × 0.960) | won by 8 at Colorado |
| 17 (↑5) | Miami-FL BCS=17 | 9-3 | 4.5774 (LW × 1.031) | won by 21 at South-Florida |
| 18 (↓5) | Oklahoma-St BCS=20 | 9-3 | 4.5122 (LW × 0.870) | lost by 27 at Oklahoma |
| 19 (↑4) | Stanford BCS=24 | 8-4 | 4.4446 (LW × 1.016) | won by 7 vs Notre-Dame |
| 20 (↑9) | LSU BCS=13 | 9-3 | 4.4440 (LW × 1.178) | won by 3 vs Arkansas |
| 21 (↓5) | Pittsburgh BCS=15 | 9-2 | 4.4075 (LW × 0.881) | lost by 3 at West-Virginia |
| 22 (↑2) | Iowa BCS=9 | 10-2 | 4.2465 (LW × 0.973) | Bye |
| 23 (↓5) | Clemson | 8-4 | 4.2385 (LW × 0.894) | lost by 17 at South-Carolina |
| 24 (↑1) | Oregon-St BCS=16 | 8-3 | 4.2144 (LW × 0.992) | Bye |
| 25 (↑2) | West-Virginia BCS=23 | 8-2 | 4.2103 (LW × 1.041) | won by 3 vs Pittsburgh |
| 26 (↓5) | Texas-A&M | 6-6 | 4.1654 (LW × 0.924) | lost by 10 vs Texas |
| 27 (↑1) | Auburn | 7-5 | 4.1228 (LW × 1.027) | lost by 5 vs Alabama |
| 28 (↑4) | Tennessee | 7-5 | 4.1218 (LW × 1.140) | won by 6 at Kentucky |
| 29 (↓9) | North-Carolina | 8-4 | 4.0480 (LW × 0.885) | lost by 1 at NC-State |
| 30 (-) | USC BCS=18 | 8-3 | 4.0347 (LW × 1.083) | won by 21 vs UCLA |
Other notable teams: | ||||
| 33 (-) | Houston BCS=21 | 10-2 | 3.7779 (LW × 1.052) | won by 59 vs Rice |
| 36 (↑1) | BYU BCS=14 | 10-2 | 3.6063 (LW × 1.033) | won by 3 vs Utah |
| 38 (↓4) | California BCS=19 | 8-3 | 3.5160 (LW × 0.983) | Bye |
| 48 (↓5) | Utah BCS=25 | 9-3 | 3.0356 (LW × 0.943) | lost by 3 at BYU |
Comments:
Alabama and Florida are now in a virtual tie.
Arkansas loses to LSU, and barely budges. But they're getting a lot of power from recent wins over South Carolina, Mississippi, and (yes) Troy.
And Oklahoma is another 7-5 team in the top 10. But they're 4-2 in their last 6, and have a 3-point loss to APR's #1 Texas.
While Texas A&M is still getting an enormous amount of power from their 22-point win over Texas Tech (week 8), and lesser but still significant power from their 25-point win over Iowa State (week 9) and 35-point win over Baylor (week 13).
Arizona really looked anemic against ASU. They converted just 2 of 15 third downs, and (apart from one 67 yard run), had just 62 yards rushing on 19 attempts. They got the winning field goal because ASU muffed a late punt. Like last week against Oregon, the defense faded down the stretch, and ASU would've had a real chance to win if they'd held on to the ball (or even just gotten to overtime).
