Read
this for a description of APR.
Read
this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.
Official rankings will be added after they are published.
Sorry about this being later than usual. Long day on Saturday, and
didn't realize it until I was watching football Sunday afternoon.
| Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
| 1 (-) | Texas BCS=3 | 11-0 | 7.9155 (LW × 0.942) | won by 31 vs Kansas |
| 2 (-) | Alabama BCS=2 | 11-0 | 6.7540 (LW × 0.934) | won by 45 vs Chattanooga |
| 3 (-) | Florida BCS=1 | 11-0 | 6.0935 (LW × 0.913) | won by 59 vs Florida-Intl |
| 4 (↑11) | Texas-Tech | 7-4 | 6.0472 (LW × 1.220) | won by 28 vs Oklahoma |
| 5 (↓1) | TCU BCS=4 | 11-0 | 6.0340 (LW × 0.961) | won by 35 at Wyoming |
| 6 (↑5) | Arkansas | 7-4 | 5.5379 (LW × 1.063) | won by 21 vs Mississippi-St |
| 7 (↓2) | Georgia-Tech BCS=7 | 10-1 | 5.5148 (LW × 0.968) | Bye |
| 8 (↑4) | Mississippi BCS=25 | 8-3 | 5.3376 (LW × 1.038) | won by 12 vs LSU |
| 9 (↓1) | Virginia-Tech BCS=14 | 8-3 | 5.3294 (LW × 0.965) | won by 28 vs NC-State |
| 10 (↓1) | Ohio-St BCS=10 | 10-2 | 5.3251 (LW × 0.985) | won by 11 at Michigan |
| 11 (↑11) | Penn-St BCS=13 | 10-2 | 5.3121 (LW × 1.192) | won by 28 at Michigan-St |
| 12 (↑4) | Cincinnati BCS=5 | 10-0 | 5.2547 (LW × 1.071) | Bye |
| 13 (↓6) | Oklahoma-St BCS=12 | 9-2 | 5.1853 (LW × 0.929) | won by 3 vs Colorado |
| 14 (↓4) | Oregon BCS=8 | 9-2 | 5.1674 (LW × 0.975) | won by 3 at Arizona |
| 15 (↓9) | Oklahoma | 6-5 | 5.0122 (LW × 0.884) | lost by 28 at Texas-Tech |
| 16 (↑3) | Pittsburgh BCS=9 | 9-1 | 5.0019 (LW × 1.083) | Bye |
| 17 (↓3) | Nebraska | 8-3 | 4.8202 (LW × 0.969) | won by 14 vs Kansas-St |
| 18 (↓1) | Clemson BCS=18 | 8-3 | 4.7416 (LW × 0.967) | won by 13 vs Virginia |
| 19 (↓1) | Boise-St BCS=6 | 11-0 | 4.6154 (LW × 0.975) | won by 31 at Utah-St |
| 20 (↑6) | North-Carolina BCS=24 | 8-3 | 4.5742 (LW × 1.092) | won by 18 at Boston-Coll |
| 21 (↑6) | Texas-A&M | 6-5 | 4.5092 (LW × 1.109) | won by 35 vs Baylor |
| 22 (↓1) | Miami-FL BCS=17 | 8-3 | 4.4411 (LW × 0.986) | won by 18 vs Duke |
| 23 (↓10) | Stanford | 7-4 | 4.3758 (LW × 0.875) | lost by 6 vs California |
| 24 (↓1) | Iowa BCS=11 | 10-2 | 4.3662 (LW × 1.005) | won by 12 vs Minnesota |
| 25 (↓5) | Oregon-St BCS=16 | 8-3 | 4.2496 (LW × 0.932) | won by 32 at Washington-St |
| 26 (↓1) | Missouri | 7-4 | 4.1928 (LW × 0.996) | won by 10 vs Iowa-St |
| 27 (↑8) | West-Virginia | 7-2 | 4.0430 (LW × 1.106) | Bye |
| 28 (-) | Auburn | 7-4 | 4.0153 (LW × 1.003) | Bye |
| 29 (↓5) | LSU BCS=15 | 8-3 | 3.7721 (LW × 0.896) | lost by 12 at Mississippi |
| 30 (↑2) | USC BCS=20 | 7-3 | 3.7267 (LW × 0.973) | Bye |
Other notable teams: | ||||
| 33 (↑1) | Houston BCS=23 | 9-2 | 3.5918 (LW × 0.965) | won by 41 vs Memphis |
| 34 (↑8) | California BCS=22 | 8-3 | 3.5778 (LW × 1.104) | won by 6 at Stanford |
| 37 (↑6) | BYU BCS=19 | 9-2 | 3.4904 (LW × 1.080) | won by 17 vs Air-Force |
| 43 (↑2) | Utah BCS=21 | 9-2 | 3.2201 (LW × 1.024) | won by 31 vs San-Diego-St |
Comments:
Florida drops a little more than Alabama, it's still (hypothetically) a pretty close match-up.
Arizona had a tough loss to Oregon at home. They were up by 10 points in the 4th quarter, but the defense was gassed, and couldn't stop Oregon forcing overtime, and couldn't hold Oregon in overtime.
Texas Tech somehow claws their way into the top 5. But that 22-point loss to Texas A&M (APR #21) is something of a head-scratcher.
