Monday, November 23, 2009

NFL Week 11 Pick Results

2009 Navigation Links

Pick results for week 11.

Unanimous picks (9-3)

Correctly picked:

Saints @ Buccaneers
Cardinals @ Rams
Redskins @ Cowboys
Seahawks @ Vikings
Colts @ Ravens
Eagles @ Bears
Jets @ Patriots
Bills @ Jaguars
49ers @ Packers

Not so much:

Bengals @ Raiders
No doubt you've seen the kick return fumble that set up the Raiders to kick the winning field goal. But the Bengals have other problems. Their defense let the Raiders drive 80 yards for the tying score on the previous drive. And their offense couldn't score more than 17 points on a Raider defense that has been giving up on average 25 points a game.

Steelers @ Chiefs
The Steelers are another team with multiple problems. They gave up another kick-return touchdown in this game. They couldn't score on two possesions after the Chiefs made the tying score. But probably worst of all, they couldn't stop the Chiefs from driving 91 yards down the field to make the tying score. The Steelers just aren't the same team when Troy Polamalu isn't on the field.

Titans @ Texans
Vince Young is certainly doing his part for the Titans: 116 yards passing on 22 attempts, and 73 yards rushing. But somehow the defense has been rejuvinated, too. In the first 6 games, they gave up at least 31 points in all but two games. Since then, they've given 17 or less in all but one game. Teams that still need to play the Titans should forget about that 0-6 start—they're playing a lot more like last year's 13-3 squad right now.

Split Picks (APR 0-4, SRS 1-3, Line 3-1)

Dolphins (SRS) @ Panthers (APR, Line)
Jake Delhomme's numbers through 3 quarters were awful: 9/20 for 93 yards and an interception. He had something of a turn-around in the 4th quarter, putting up 134 yards and a touchdown. But while the offense was finally putting up some points, the defense had a 4th quarter melt-down, giving up a crucial 3rd-and-12 conversion, followed by a Ricky Williams 46-yard touchdown run. At that point in the game, that proved to be enough to put the game out of reach.

Falcons (APR, SRS) @ Giants (Line)
The Falcons continue to be the Poster Team for splitting the power index into 'home' and 'away' versions, at least for picking games. They are 5-0 at home, 1-5 on the road.

Browns (APR, SRS) @ Lions (Line)
Who can blow a first quarter 24-3 lead? Who can get called for defensive pass interference on a Hail Mary? Who can score 37 points and still lose? Ladies and Gentlemen, your 2009 Cleveland Browns!

Chargers (Line) @ Broncos (APR, SRS)
The Broncos haven't been the same since the bye, struggling on offense and defense. And now with Kyle Orton hurt, and Chris Simms flaming out, they're in free-fall.


This Week Overall%
APR   9-791-5363.2%
SRS  10-690-5462.5%
Line  12-496-4866.7%
Unanimous  9-371-2772.4%

New power rankings, and Week 12 picks to come.