Update: just noticed I didn't have a line for Falcons @ Giants. Added from yahoo.com
Read this for a description of APR.Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com, except for Chargers @ Broncos, which is taken from footballlocks.com.
Picks for week 11.
Game | APR | SRS | Line |
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Saints ρ=3.1916 | Saints δ=22.29 | Saints -11 |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders | Bengals ρ=3.1420 | Bengals δ=22.12 | Bengals -9½ |
Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams | Cardinals ρ=2.7235 | Cardinals δ=21.26 | Cardinals -9 |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs | Steelers ρ=2.3672 | Steelers δ=15.29 | Steelers -10 |
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.9354 | Cowboys δ=12.83 | Cowboys -11 |
Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.7295 | Vikings δ=7.80 | Vikings -11 |
Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens | Colts ρ=1.5454 | Colts δ=3.97 | Colts -1 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears | Eagles ρ=1.4851 | Eagles δ=5.66 | Eagles -3 |
New York Jets @ New England Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.3763 | Patriots δ=8.76 | Patriots -10½ |
Miami Dolphins @ Carolina Panthers | Panthers ρ=1.3428 | Dolphins δ=6.16 | Panthers -3 |
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants | Falcons ρ=1.3307 | Falcons δ=3.60 | Giants -6½ |
Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions | Browns ρ=1.2130 | Browns δ=0.03 | Lions -4 |
Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Jaguars ρ=1.2053 | Jaguars δ=1.15 | Jaguars -8½ |
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans | Texans ρ=1.1848 | Texans δ=7.93 | Texans -4½ |
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers | Packers ρ=1.0801 | Packers δ=1.57 | Packers -6½ |
San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.0793 | Broncos δ=0.27 | Chargers -3 |
Comments:
Dolphins @ Panthers is the Thursday night game.
The Yahoo line listing presents lines from several different booking services. Normally, they agree on what team is favored, though not always by the precise value. This week, there are 3 lines with Colts - 1, and one with Ravens - 1. In this case, majority rules, so Colts - 1 is listed above.
The Packers have beat the 49ers 12 times in a row in the regular season, dating back to 1995. They're probably going to need a better game from Aaron Rodgers and the offense to keep that streak alive. Of course, the 49ers are probably going to need to score more than 10 points to end that streak.
The Falcons are still looking for their second road win, and the Giants are looking to end their 4-game losing streak.
The Browns will have a lot tougher time with the Lions if Josh Cribbs can't play.