Monday, October 3, 2011

NFL Week 4 Power Rankings

RankTeamPower
Index
W-LThis Week
1 (-)Packers1.2285
(LW × 1.0065)
4-0Won by 26
vs Broncos
2 (↑4)Patriots1.1495
(LW × 1.0472)
3-1Won by 12
@ Raiders
3 (↑4)Saints1.1298
(LW × 1.0319)
3-1Won by 13
@ Jaguars
4 (↓1)Bills1.0997
(LW × 0.9187)
3-1Lost by 3
@ Bengals
5 (↑7)Lions1.0642
(LW × 1.0636)
4-0Won by 4
@ Cowboys
6 (↑10)Ravens1.0451
(LW × 1.1278)
3-1Won by 17
vs Jets
7 (↑4)Titans1.0384
(LW × 1.0300)
3-1Won by 18
@ Browns
8 (↓6)Raiders1.0367
(LW × 0.8571)
2-2Lost by 12
vs Patriots
9 (↓4)Cowboys0.9971
(LW × 0.8820)
2-2Lost by 4
vs Lions
10 (↑3)Bengals0.9734
(LW × 1.0359)
2-2Won by 3
vs Bills
11 (↓2)49ers0.9725
(LW × 0.9377)
3-1Won by 1
@ Eagles
12 (↓4)Redskins0.9725
(LW × 0.9350)
3-1Won by 7
@ Rams
13 (↑1)Texans0.9613
(LW × 1.0269)
3-1Won by 7
vs Steelers
14 (↓4)Broncos0.9571
(LW × 0.9444)
1-3Lost by 26
@ Packers
15 (↓11)Jets0.9570
(LW × 0.8369)
2-2Lost by 17
@ Ravens
16 (↑2)Bears0.9370
(LW × 1.0288)
2-2Won by 5
vs Panthers
17 (↑6)Giants0.8917
(LW × 1.0919)
3-1Won by 4
@ Cardinals
18 (↑2)Chargers0.8842
(LW × 1.0346)
3-1Won by 10
vs Dolphins
19 (-)Panthers0.8665
(LW × 0.9785)
1-3Lost by 5
@ Bears
20 (↓3)Jaguars0.8634
(LW × 0.9383)
1-3Lost by 13
vs Saints
21 (↑1)Buccaneers0.8541
(LW × 1.0402)
3-1Won by 7
vs Colts
22 (↓7)Cardinals0.8472
(LW × 0.9123)
1-3Lost by 4
vs Giants
23 (↓2)Steelers0.8399
(LW × 1.0159)
2-2Lost by 7
@ Texans
24 (↑4)Falcons0.8117
(LW × 1.0776)
2-2Won by 2
@ Seahawks
25 (↑4)Eagles0.8083
(LW × 1.1076)
1-3Lost by 1
vs 49ers
26 (↓1)Chiefs0.7929
(LW × 1.0312)
1-3Won by 5
vs Vikings
27 (-)Vikings0.7874
(LW × 1.0381)
0-4Lost by 5
@ Chiefs
28 (↓4)Browns0.7804
(LW × 0.9758)
2-2Lost by 18
vs Titans
29 (↑1)Dolphins0.7500
(LW × 1.0362)
0-4Lost by 10
@ Chargers
30 (↓4)Seahawks0.7334
(LW × 0.9587)
1-3Lost by 2
vs Falcons
31 (-)Colts0.6871
(LW × 1.0552)
0-4Lost by 7
@ Buccaneers
32 (-)Rams0.6785
(LW × 1.1372)
0-4Lost by 7
vs Redskins

Comments:

  • I'm not sure how much I believe these rankings just yet. The Bills seem like the biggest overrate: one trouncing of a very bad team and two miracle come-backs does not make a top-5 team. Given how spectacularly the Cowboys collapsed this week, they don't seem like a top-10 team either.

  • The Packers' secondary looked suspect again this week. In spite of the fact that they had just two guys to cover (Brandon Lloyd and Eric Decker), Kyle Orton managed to throw for 273 yards and 3 touchdowns (mostly in the first half). The good news for the Packers is, as long as they can continue to put up offense like they did on Sunday, it's not going to matter much if their defense is a little slow to get started.

  • Aaron Rodgers has 1,325 yards of passing already this season. Which is good for 4th place, behind Tom Brady (1,553), Drew Brees (1,410), and Cam Newton (1,386).

  • The Texans are off to a good start at 3-1. But Arian Foster ran 30 times in Sunday's win. That kind of pounding is not sustainable for very long at all.

  • At the beginning of the season, with the other AFC South teams in apparent disarray, it looked like the division was the Texans to lose. But with the Titans at 3-1, Matt Hasselbeck having a late-career resurgence, and Chris Johnson getting back on track, it's starting to look like there could be some competition for the AFC South this year.

  • Could the 49ers run away with the NFC West this year? They've already got a 2-game lead in the division, and 2 non-division road wins for the first time since 2006. I don't want to underestimate the ability of any of these teams to collapse down the stretch, but after 4 games, the 49ers are on their best start in nearly a decade.