| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.3209 | Packers δ=18.3 | Packers -14 |
| Chiefs @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.2902 | Patriots δ=19.7 | Patriots -14½ |
| Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.2562 | 49ers δ=15.2 | 49ers -9½ |
| Panthers @ Lions | Lions ρ=1.2314 | Lions δ=12.3 | Lions -7 |
| Cowboys @ Redskins | Cowboys ρ=1.1816 | Cowboys* δ=11.0 | Cowboys -8 |
| Chargers @ Bears | Bears ρ=1.1520 | Bears δ=12.3 | Bears -3½ |
| Jaguars @ Browns | Jaguars ρ=1.1051 | Jaguars* δ=3.5 | Jaguars -1 |
| Bills @ Dolphins | Bills ρ=1.1050 | Bills* δ=5.3 | Dolphins -1 |
| Seahawks @ Rams | Seahawks ρ=1.0851 | Seahawks* δ=6.0 | Rams -1 |
| Titans @ Falcons | Falcons* ρ=1.0496 | Falcons δ=3.1 | Falcons -5½ |
| Bengals @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.0492 | Ravens δ=5.0 | Ravens -7 |
| Jets @ Broncos | Jets ρ=1.0375 | Jets* δ=8.8 | Jets -4½ |
| Eagles @ Giants | Giants* ρ=1.0215 | Eagles* δ=2.8 | Giants -3 |
| Raiders @ Vikings | Raiders ρ=1.0166 | Raiders* δ=1.3 | Raiders -1½ |
Bye: Texans, Colts, Saints, Steelers
Comments:
Some close lines for games maching up some pretty bad teams. Though I'm surprised the Raiders are only getting -1½; Carson Palmer (mostly) played pretty well Thursday night. But their defense has been pretty bad against the run, so Adrian Peterson and Percy Harvin could get a lot of yards.
The 49ers are 6-2 against the Cardinals in their last 8 meedings. Oddly, one team or the other has swept this series every year but one since realignment.
Even with a 6-game lead in the NFC West, the 49ers are still a ways away from clinching the division. They won't get to 11 wins before December, which is what they'll need to clinch, given the Seahawks are hitting a soft spot in their schedule, and could easily get to 5-6.
Michael Vick has a rib injury, and may not play on Sunday. The way the Eagles have been playing lately, it may not matter.
Matt Cassel is also injured, which means that it's "go time" for backup Tyler Palko, who only has thirteen passes on his career stat line.
