| Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Packers | 1.0971 (LW × 0.9853) | 10-0 | Won by 9 vs Buccaneers |
| 2 (-) | 49ers | 1.0512 (LW × 1.0073) | 9-1 | Won by 16 vs Cardinals |
| 3 (-) | Ravens | 1.0292 (LW × 1.0102) | 7-3 | Won by 7 vs Bengals |
| 4 (↑1) | Steelers | 1.0124 (LW × 1.0019) | 7-3 | Bye |
| 5 (↓1) | Patriots | 1.0055 (LW × 0.9918) | 7-3 | Won by 31 vs Chiefs |
| 6 (-) | Texans | 1.0050 (LW × 1.0098) | 7-3 | Bye |
| 7 (↑1) | Bears | 0.9852 (LW × 1.0094) | 7-3 | Won by 11 vs Chargers |
| 8 (↓1) | Lions | 0.9828 (LW × 1.0054) | 7-3 | Won by 14 vs Panthers |
| 9 (↑1) | Saints | 0.9679 (LW × 1.0008) | 7-3 | Bye |
| 10 (↓1) | Bengals | 0.9639 (LW × 0.9926) | 6-4 | Lost by 7 @ Ravens |
| 11 (↑1) | Falcons | 0.9546 (LW × 1.0134) | 6-4 | Won by 6 vs Titans |
| 12 (↓1) | Cowboys | 0.9375 (LW × 0.9908) | 6-4 | Won by 3 @ Redskins |
| 13 (↑4) | Eagles | 0.9058 (LW × 1.0181) | 4-6 | Won by 7 @ Giants |
| 14 (↓1) | Jets | 0.9035 (LW × 0.9891) | 5-5 | Lost by 4 @ Broncos |
| 15 (↑1) | Titans | 0.8993 (LW × 1.0020) | 5-5 | Lost by 6 @ Falcons |
| 16 (↑2) | Broncos | 0.8977 (LW × 1.0195) | 5-5 | Won by 4 vs Jets |
| 17 (↓3) | Giants | 0.8852 (LW × 0.9740) | 6-4 | Lost by 7 vs Eagles |
| 18 (↑3) | Seahawks | 0.8764 (LW × 1.0332) | 4-6 | Won by 17 @ Rams |
| 19 (↑1) | Raiders | 0.8640 (LW × 1.0105) | 6-4 | Won by 6 @ Vikings |
| 20 (↑3) | Buccaneers | 0.8555 (LW × 1.0148) | 4-6 | Lost by 9 @ Packers |
| 21 (↓2) | Jaguars | 0.8513 (LW × 0.9920) | 3-7 | Lost by 4 @ Browns |
| 22 (↑4) | Dolphins | 0.8491 (LW × 1.0448) | 3-7 | Won by 27 vs Bills |
| 23 (↓8) | Bills | 0.8490 (LW × 0.9455) | 5-5 | Lost by 27 @ Dolphins |
| 24 (↓2) | Chargers | 0.8478 (LW × 1.0007) | 4-6 | Lost by 11 @ Bears |
| 25 (↓1) | Vikings | 0.8309 (LW × 0.9879) | 2-8 | Lost by 6 vs Raiders |
| 26 (↓1) | Cardinals | 0.8247 (LW × 0.9927) | 3-7 | Lost by 16 @ 49ers |
| 27 (↑4) | Browns | 0.7962 (LW × 1.0253) | 4-6 | Won by 4 vs Jaguars |
| 28 (↑1) | Chiefs | 0.7893 (LW × 1.0044) | 4-6 | Lost by 31 @ Patriots |
| 29 (↓2) | Redskins | 0.7870 (LW × 0.9828) | 3-7 | Lost by 3 vs Cowboys |
| 30 (↓2) | Panthers | 0.7837 (LW × 0.9872) | 2-8 | Lost by 14 @ Lions |
| 31 (↓1) | Rams | 0.7610 (LW × 0.9735) | 2-8 | Lost by 17 vs Seahawks |
| 32 (-) | Colts | 0.6945 (LW × 1.0044) | 0-10 | Bye |
Comments:
The Eagles are easily the highest ranked team with a losing record. But there's still a lot of teams between them and a playoff spot. And with losses to teams like the Bills and Cardinals, I'm not sure I'd call any game a "likely win" for them.
The Dolphins are another team making noise about "running the table" and getting into the playoffs. My rule of thumb is that once it gets to be Thanksgiving, any team more than a couple wins out of the playoff race is done. Right now, the Colts are still the only AFC team with a worse record than the Dolphins.
The Chiefs looked really bad Monday night. Especially without Matt Cassel, they may not win another game this season.
And the Giants lose another game they really should've won. It will be interesting to see how far down ESPN moves them in the power rankings.
In the Bills 5 wins, their defense generated a total of 16 turnovers. In their 5 losses, their defense generated 4. Not coincidentally, the Bills scored 31+ points in 4 of their first 5 games. They didn't score 31 points total in their last 3.
