Tuesday, November 1, 2011

NFL Week 8 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

For the picks that went wrong this week, there's definitely an "everything you know is wrong" theme.

Unanimous Picks (8-3)

Lions @ Broncos
Bengals @ Seahawks
Browns @ 49ers
Cardinals @ Ravens
Redskins @ Bills
Colts @ Titans
Dolphins @ Giants
Jaguars @ Texans


Saints @ Rams
For the second time in 3 games, Drew Brees has had a bad game (2 touchdowns and 5 interceptions). The Saints defense hasn't been doing well either—they've allowed 26+ points in five games, including all three losses.
Patriots @ Steelers
The Patriots apparently left their juggernaught offense at home for this game. They only had three drives longer than 18 yards, and only one of those ended with a touchdown. This is made all the more surprising by the fact that the Patriots didn't have any interceptions, and only that one fumble at the end of the game. In spite of the gaudy passing stats that Brady has been putting up, this seems like one of the weakest Patriot squads we've seen since Brady took over from Drew Bledsoe.
Chargers @ Chiefs
The Chargers botched this game in just about every way possible: 3 sacks, 105 penalty yards, 2 interceptions and 2 lost fumbles. Somehow they were still in it, with a chance to take a 3-point lead late in the 4th quarter, until that second lost fumble. Given the state of the AFC West, I wouldn't bet 2¢ on any of those teams to win it right now.

Split Picks: (APR: 1-1, SRS 0-2, Line 1-1)

Cowboys (APR, SRS) @ Eagles (Line)
This was easily the worst game the Cowboys have played since Wade Philips was on the sidelines. The defense couldn't stop anything (the Eagles scored on their first 6 drives, none shorter than 58 yards), and the offense just couldn't get started, not producing a drive longer than 28 yards until deep into garbage time. I'm not sure how much to credit (or blame) either team for the outcome of this game, but I'll be a lot less interested in arguing that the Cowboys are underrated right now.
Vikings (APR) @ Panthers (SRS, Line)
A close game, as advertised. One thing that stands out as a difference maker: the Vikings defense produced two turnovers that the offense converted into touchdowns, while the Panthers defense only produced one turnover, and their offense fumbled the ball away on the ensuing drive.


APR 9-461-38-161.5%
SRS 8-562-37-162.5%
Line 9-469-31-069.0%