Monday, January 23, 2012

2011 Championship Week Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Ravens @ Patriots (APR, SRS, Line)
I suppose the most surprising thing about this game is that the Ravens offense performed as well as they did. They had 4 drives of 65 yards or longer, all ending with a score except for that final missed field goal. And the missed field goal at the end of regulation has to be particularly painful—the Ravens went toe-to-toe with the Patriots the whole game, and would've had a decent shot at winning if they had forced overtime.
I have to say, I wasn't overly impressed with Tom Brady's performance in this game. 14 incompletions, no touchdowns and two interceptions gave him easily his lowest passer ratining (57.5) of the season. Yeah, one of those picks was pretty flukey, but the fact that they even tried such a high-risk throw against the Ravens' defense suggests to me a pretty high level of frustration. I suspect the Patriots offense will have to be more patient to succeed against the Giants defense.
Giants @ 49ers (APR, SRS, Line)
As predicted, this game was decided on turnovers: one muffed punt gave the Giants field position for the tying score, and a second fumble gave them field position for the winning field goal.
The Giants had an astonishing 17 drives in this game (including 3 in overtime). Only 3 of them longer than 31 yards. The 49ers defense gave them a real chance to win this game, but lack of production on offense, and those two critical turnovers, tipped the game to the Giants' favor.


APR 1-15-550.0%
SRS 1-15-550.0%

Stay Tuned!

I'll have some more season wrap-up posts this week, and the Super Bowl pick next week.