| Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (↑1) | Saints | 1.1255 (LW × 1.0056) | 5-0 | Won by 8 @ Bears |
| 2 (↓1) | Broncos | 1.1088 (LW × 0.9887) | 5-0 | Won by 3 @ Cowboys |
| 3 (↑5) | Chiefs | 1.0252 (LW × 1.0253) | 5-0 | Won by 9 @ Titans |
| 4 (↑6) | Colts | 1.0153 (LW × 1.0430) | 4-1 | Won by 6 vs Seahawks |
| 5 (↓2) | Patriots | 1.0088 (LW × 0.9051) | 4-1 | Lost by 7 @ Bengals |
| 6 (↑1) | Ravens | 1.0045 (LW × 1.0008) | 3-2 | Won by 3 @ Dolphins |
| 7 (↓3) | Seahawks | 1.0025 (LW × 0.9531) | 4-1 | Lost by 6 @ Colts |
| 8 (↑12) | Packers | 1.0010 (LW × 1.1411) | 2-2 | Won by 13 vs Lions |
| 9 (↓4) | Dolphins | 1.0008 (LW × 0.9740) | 3-2 | Lost by 3 vs Ravens |
| 10 (↓1) | Lions | 0.9752 (LW × 0.9961) | 3-2 | Lost by 13 @ Packers |
| 11 (↑7) | Browns | 0.9481 (LW × 1.0457) | 3-2 | Won by 13 vs Bills |
| 12 (↑11) | Bengals | 0.9479 (LW × 1.1082) | 3-2 | Won by 7 vs Patriots |
| 13 (↑6) | Cardinals | 0.9277 (LW × 1.0501) | 3-2 | Won by 16 vs Panthers |
| 14 (↑10) | 49ers | 0.9209 (LW × 1.1032) | 3-2 | Won by 31 vs Texans |
| 15 (↑2) | Bears | 0.9192 (LW × 1.0056) | 3-2 | Lost by 8 vs Saints |
| 16 (↓4) | Jets | 0.9174 (LW × 0.9615) | 3-2 | Won by 2 @ Falcons |
| 17 (↓11) | Titans | 0.9167 (LW × 0.9045) | 3-2 | Lost by 9 vs Chiefs |
| 18 (↓3) | Falcons | 0.8903 (LW × 0.9529) | 1-4 | Lost by 2 vs Jets |
| 19 (↑2) | Cowboys | 0.8770 (LW × 1.0031) | 2-3 | Lost by 3 vs Broncos |
| 20 (↓9) | Bills | 0.8763 (LW × 0.9183) | 2-3 | Lost by 13 @ Browns |
| 21 (↓8) | Chargers | 0.8666 (LW × 0.9138) | 2-3 | Lost by 10 @ Raiders |
| 22 (↑4) | Eagles | 0.8536 (LW × 1.0402) | 2-3 | Won by 15 @ Giants |
| 23 (↓9) | Texans | 0.8476 (LW × 0.8955) | 2-3 | Lost by 31 @ 49ers |
| 24 (↓2) | Buccaneers | 0.8426 (LW × 0.9807) | 0-4 | Bye |
| 25 (-) | Vikings | 0.8402 (LW × 1.0101) | 1-3 | Bye |
| 26 (↑1) | Raiders | 0.8394 (LW × 1.0735) | 2-3 | Won by 10 vs Chargers |
| 27 (↓11) | Panthers | 0.8273 (LW × 0.8855) | 1-3 | Lost by 16 @ Cardinals |
| 28 (-) | Redskins | 0.8199 (LW × 1.0575) | 1-3 | Bye |
| 29 (↑1) | Rams | 0.7679 (LW × 1.0579) | 2-3 | Won by 14 vs Jaguars |
| 30 (↑1) | Steelers | 0.7094 (LW × 1.0038) | 0-4 | Bye |
| 31 (↓2) | Giants | 0.6982 (LW × 0.9289) | 0-5 | Lost by 15 vs Eagles |
| 32 (-) | Jaguars | 0.6742 (LW × 0.9881) | 0-5 | Lost by 14 @ Rams |
Comments:
Last Summer, I predicted the Colts would struggle this season. Instead, Andrew Luck's completion rate, yards per attempt, and touchdown rate have all gone up, and his interception rate has gone down. He's just generally playing much better, and that's a big part of the reason the Colts are 4-1 right now.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars are already halfway to a third straight season of double-digit losses and the Texans are in a tailspin. The Colts only competition for the AFC South may be the Titans...
And speaking of predictions, I am once again reminded that I really shouldn't say anything about point spreads. On the other hand, who thought that the Patriots would only score 6 points, or the Broncos would give up 48?
And speaking of the Cowboys 48 points, I don't know how anyone can blame Romo for that loss. He had an absolute career day, passing for 506 yards and 5 touchdowns, and basically had one bad pass. Here's a rule of thumb Cowboy fans may want to take into consideration: when you score 48 points, only have one turnover, and still lose, it's not the fault of your offense.
When I said that the winner of Bills @ Browns could emerge with some momentum for the rest of the season, I was assuming they'd emerge with their preferred quarterback unhurt. To be fair, Brandon Weeden was at least servicable in relief of the injured Brian Hoyer, and will certainly have his chance to re-prove he's worthy of the starting position.
I've been touting the Seahawks as a likely candidate for the top seed in the NFC playoffs, but the way the Saints have been playing lately, they have to be in the discussion too. The way that defensive squad has turned around, from historically bad to very good, is really quite extraordinary.
And speaking of impressive turnarounds, in every game they've played so far this season, the Giants have given up at least 31 points and turned the ball over at least 3 times. Eli Manning already has 12 interceptions, just 3 short of the 15 he had all last season, and already almost half way to the career high 25 he had in 2010. For a team that hasn't had a losing season since 2003, and won the Super Bowl a couple seasons ago, it's a shocking breakdown.
