Read
this for a description of APR.
Read
this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
Line values are taken
from yahoo.com,
and are for comparison purposes only.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Michigan-St (49) @ Texas-Tech (4) | Texas-Tech ρ=1.9007 | Texas-Tech δ=15.61 | Texas-Tech -7 |
| Fresno-St (65) @ Wyoming (98) | Fresno-St ρ=1.6771 | Fresno-St δ=12.84 | Fresno-St -10½ |
| Nevada (39) @ SMU (76) | Nevada ρ=1.5880 | Nevada δ=16.08 | Nevada -14 |
| Arkansas (6) @ East-Carolina (40) | Arkansas ρ=1.5849 | Arkansas δ=13.17 | Arkansas -8 |
| Northwestern (58) @ Auburn (23) | Auburn ρ=1.5287 | Auburn δ=14.54 | Auburn -7½ |
| Navy (63) @ Missouri (32) | Missouri ρ=1.4589 | Missouri δ=4.67 | Missouri -6 |
| Bowling-Green (70) @ Idaho (91) | Bowling-Green ρ=1.4312 | Bowling-Green δ=4.54 | Idaho -1 |
| Florida (3) @ Cincinnati (15) | Florida ρ=1.3508 | Florida δ=9.93 | Florida -10 |
| West-Virginia (25) @ Florida-St (45) | West-Virginia ρ=1.3185 | West-Virginia δ=4.37 | West-Virginia -3 |
| Virginia-Tech (7) @ Tennessee (26) | Virginia-Tech ρ=1.3179 | Virginia-Tech δ=7.54 | Virginia-Tech -4½ |
| Boston-Coll (53) @ USC (34) | USC ρ=1.2972 | USC δ=5.84 | USC -9 |
| Houston (37) @ Air-Force (59) | Houston ρ=1.2938 | Houston δ=2.57 | Houston -4½ |
| Oklahoma (5) @ Stanford (19) | Oklahoma ρ=1.2834 | Oklahoma δ=10.30 | Oklahoma -9½ |
| Arizona (35) @ Nebraska (16) | Nebraska ρ=1.2726 | Nebraska δ=6.39 | Arizona -1 |
| Kentucky (43) @ Clemson (29) | Clemson ρ=1.2216 | Clemson δ=6.76 | Clemson -7 |
| South-Florida (68) @ Northern-Illinois (81) | South-Florida ρ=1.2057 | South-Florida δ=1.05 | South-Florida -6½ |
| Miami-FL (18) @ Wisconsin (30) | Miami-FL ρ=1.1880 | Miami-FL δ=5.82 | Miami-FL -3 |
| Oregon-St (22) @ BYU (36) | Oregon-St ρ=1.1871 | Oregon-St δ=1.03 | Oregon-St -2 |
| Ohio (55) @ Marshall (72) | Ohio ρ=1.1761 | Ohio δ=5.43 | Ohio -2 |
| Oklahoma-St (20) @ Mississippi (12) | Mississippi ρ=1.1462 | Mississippi δ=0.63 | Mississippi -3 |
| Cent-Michigan (38) @ Troy (47) | Cent-Michigan ρ=1.1462 | Cent-Michigan δ=12.83 | Cent-Michigan -4 |
| Penn-St (11) @ LSU (17) | Penn-St ρ=1.1440 | Penn-St δ=1.18 | Penn-St -3 |
| Iowa (21) @ Georgia-Tech (13) | Georgia-Tech ρ=1.1299 | Georgia-Tech δ=5.65 | Georgia-Tech -4 |
| Boise-St (14) @ TCU (8) | TCU ρ=1.1144 | TCU δ=6.35 | TCU -7 |
| Minnesota (64) @ Iowa-St (71) | Minnesota ρ=1.0758 | Minnesota δ=2.42 | Minnesota -2½ |
| Texas-A&M (27) @ Georgia (31) | Texas-A&M ρ=1.0737 | Georgia δ=3.55 | Georgia -7 |
| UCLA (61) @ Temple (56) | Temple ρ=1.0735 | UCLA δ=4.57 | UCLA -4 |
| Utah (50) @ California (44) | California ρ=1.0590 | Utah δ=2.67 | California -3 |
| Texas (2) @ Alabama (1) | Alabama ρ=1.0509 | Texas δ=1.93 | Alabama -5 |
| Pittsburgh (24) @ North-Carolina (28) | Pittsburgh ρ=1.0402 | Pittsburgh δ=4.41 | Pittsburgh -3 |
| UCF (52) @ Rutgers (48) | Rutgers ρ=1.0394 | UCF δ=0.33 | Rutgers -2½ |
| Southern-Miss (60) @ Middle-Tenn-St (66) | Southern-Miss ρ=1.0281 | Southern-Miss δ=1.89 | Southern-Miss -3½ |
| South-Carolina (41) @ Connecticut (42) | South-Carolina ρ=1.0176 | South-Carolina δ=0.51 | South-Carolina -4½ |
| Ohio-St (10) @ Oregon (9) | Oregon ρ=1.0012 | Oregon δ=1.80 | Oregon -3½ |
Comments:
The number in parentheses after the team names represents APR's end-of-season ranking.
Only 7 disagreements. Last year, SRS was the big winner on bowl picks. This year I'm using a modified version of APR, which might account for more of the APR/SRS agreement.
Mississippi State (#33) and Washington (#46) are the highest-ranked teams not listed above, but neither are bowl-eligible.
Highest ranked eligible teams not invited to a bowl: Notre Dame (#51) and Kansas State (#54).
Lowest ranked teams invited to a bowl: Idaho (#91) and Wyoming (#98).
