| Record | Teams | Comments |
| 14-1 | Rams | The Rams were not picked to beat the Lions in week 8. |
| 13-2 | Chargers | |
| 12-3 | Lions, Colts, Buccaneers, Bears | The Bears were a pretty bad team this year, especially for making it to 7 wins. APR had them ranked in the bottom 10 from week 9 to the end of the season. |
| 11-4 | Vikings | APR never picked against the Vikings. |
| 10-5 | Seahawks, Saints, Redskins, Patriots, Packers, Giants, Eagles, Chiefs, Bengals | I'm surprised APR did this well on the Patriots considering the gap between their home record (8-0) and road record (2-6). |
| 9-6 | Titans, Ravens, Falcons, Cowboys, Cardinals, Browns, Bills | 16 teams picked 9-6 or worse; same as last year. |
| 8-7 | Raiders, Panthers, Jets, Broncos, 49ers | The 49ers were another team with a big difference between their home record (6-2) and road record (2-6) |
| 7-8 | Texans, Jaguars, Dolphins | How much does a crowd matter to home field advantage? In spite of their often empty stands, the Jaguars were another team did a lot better at home (5-3) than on the road (2-6). |
| 4-11 | Steelers | How do you pick a team like this? Four of their wins came against playoff teams (Chargers, Vikings, Packers, and Ravens), while three of their losses came against some of the worst teams in the league (Chiefs, Browns, and Raiders). |
Update: I should make clear that this is for regular season games only (weeks 2-17).
