Tuesday, December 20, 2011

NFL Week 15 APR vs. ESPN

What this is

A comparison of APR's Week 15 power rankings with ESPN's rankings for the same week of games. This acts as a sanity check (both ways) to see what teams are over- or underrated.

Only teams with the widest differential are listed. The number in parentheses is the difference between APR's rank and ESPN's rank.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Ah, at last a little controversy!

Lions (+9)
In spite of their winning record, the Lions are just 4-5 in their last 9, and a narrow 1-point win (preserved by a last-second blocked field goal) against a struggling Raiders team doesn't suggest to me they've really turned the corner.
On the Bubble:
Nobody closer than the Raiders (+5)

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

On the bubble:
The Eagles (-8) are another team that has lived and died by their defense. They are 6-0 when they hold their opponent to 19 points or fewer, and 0-8 when they don't.
The Dolphins (-7) are 5-2 since the start of November, including that 1-point loss to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving.
The Seahawks (-6) are also 5-2 since the start of November. They have wins over the Giants, Ravens, Eagles, and Bears.