Game | APR | SRS | Line |
---|---|---|---|
Bills @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.3488 | Patriots δ=10.7 | Patriots -11½ |
Buccaneers @ Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.3432 | Falcons δ=13.1 | Falcons -12 |
49ers @ Rams | 49ers ρ=1.3351 | 49ers* δ=20.3 | 49ers -10½ |
Steelers @ Browns | Steelers ρ=1.2433 | Steelers* δ=11.4 | Steelers -7 |
Panthers @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.2057 | Saints δ=10.6 | Saints -9½ |
Redskins @ Eagles | Eagles* ρ=1.2015 | Eagles δ=6.9 | Eagles -10 |
Lions @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.1315 | Packers δ=5.2 | Lions -3½ |
Titans @ Texans | Texans ρ=1.1120 | Texans δ=6.3 | Titans -2½ |
Ravens @ Bengals | Ravens ρ=1.0686 | Ravens* δ=5.2 | Ravens -1½ |
Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars ρ=1.0620 | Jaguars δ=5.7 | Jaguars -3½ |
Jets @ Dolphins | Dolphins* ρ=1.0577 | Jets* δ=0.2 | Dolphins -1 |
Seahawks @ Cardinals | Seahawks ρ=1.0525 | Seahawks* δ=3.7 | Cardinals -2½ |
Chiefs @ Broncos | Broncos* ρ=1.0496 | Broncos δ=3.6 | Broncos -3 |
Chargers @ Raiders | Chargers ρ=1.0440 | Chargers* δ=5.0 | Raiders -3 |
Bears @ Vikings | Bears ρ=1.0386 | Bears* δ=7.7 | Vikings -1 |
Cowboys @ Giants | Cowboys ρ=1.0093 | Cowboys* δ=2.3 | Giants -2½ |
Comments:
At the moment, I can't find a line for Bears @ Vikings except "pick 'em". Perhaps they are waiting to see if Ponder will be able to play. Update: looks like I was right. Word has come out that Ponder will play, and suddenly there's a line.
On the NFC side, the playoff teams are set, except for the NFC East winner. But there's still some jockeying for position to be done. The 49ers still need a win to clinch the #2 seed, and the Saints will want to win in case they don't. The Lions will need a win to clinch the #5 seed, and a trip to the NFC East champion. The #6 seed will have to go to the Saints (or possibly the 49ers) on wildcard weekend.
The AFC has four teams vying for the final wildcard spot, which makes the Ravens @ Bengals game one of the most interesting matchups of the weekend. If the Bengals win, they're in (and also open up the door for the Steelers to win the AFC North and clinch the #2 seed). If the Bengals lose, it's a free-for-all for that last wildcard spot.
The Packers and Texans are the only two playoff teams that have their seeds clinched, which means Lions @ Packers and Titans @ Texans are the games most likely to be affected by teams resting their starters.
The 49ers get their widest spread of the season. They haven't won on the road by more than 8 points. Of course, they haven't played anyone near as bad as the Rams on the road, either.